"Once companies pass on the word that their staff are learning without a training department the shift will happen quickly." I agree with this prediction. However, as the "testing" in education at the lower levels works its way up through higher ed, it will continue into the workplace.

I think the "training" department will be revamped as the skills assessment department. More and more pressure will be put on employees to maintain their skills, but to be able to demonstrate that they have those skills through corporate assessment (or testing).