The future is complex, implicit and intangible. Love that way of putting it. I probably repeat it too much, but I have a real fond spot for HL Mencken's saying: For every complex problem there is an answer that is clear, simple and wrong.

I too have tried to explain the difference between complication and complexity recently, and thought you might like it (eulr.co/1aCe2d6). You may also like this paper about effectively 'nudging' complex adaptive systems, and I'll give it some thought as to how it compares with or complements your probe-sense-respond (eulr.co/N8g68K).